Russia’s Asian Infrastructure Gap

Russia’s Asian Infrastructure Gap. by Monty K Reed September 8, 2012 just after midnight.

Russia’s infrastructure as it relates to trade with Asia has problems with the rails system.  It is “constipated by under investment in switching facilities,” according to Paul Herbert, CEO of Ilim Group, Russia’s largest paper and pulp company and the largest soft-wood supplier to China.

As the years have gone by since the wall went down there has been very little investment into the railroad system in Russia as compared to the rail systems in Asia.  To the credit of the Russian government, they have not implemented a “Rails to Trails” program like in the USA which has been the death of the rails in America.

I have trouble talking about the negative side of the Rails to Trails program because I have used the trails for: horse back riding, hiking, mountain biking, walking and rolling as well as long distance cycling.  In fact my 2013 “Coast to Coast Ride” I will be using a lot of the trails that have been developed via the Rails to Trails program.

Here goes.  The rail system in America could have been the salvation of the shipping infrastructure and commerce in America because of the savings of fuel per mile per pound for cargo.  The modern rail system is the most efficient way to ship goods across America with the Post Obama fuel costs of $4+ per gallon.  Just four years ago when gas was just over $1 a gallon this discussion would be a lot different, but today with the fuel costs heading towards $5 a gallon and some folks are actually advocating to get the prices higher to motivate people to ‘go green’.

In Russia they still have the rail system.  It is run down and needs some investment to make repairs and improve things.  President Vladimir Putin made promises to make those investments and if he does it will pay off in a big way.  The good news for Putin and Russia is that there is an increase in cargo that needs to be shipped.

 

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Sources Sited:

Elaine Kurtenbach, Associate Press 11pm Pacific Time September 7, 2012  http://online.wsj.com/public/page/news-business-us.html?mod=WSJ_topnav_’business_main

 

Russia seeks to close infrastructure gap with Asia

By ELAINE KURTENBACH, Associated Press – 30 minutes ago

VLADIVOSTOK, Russia (AP) — Russia’s failure to keep up with its neighbors in building the roads, railways and other infrastructure needed to support growth is costing it dearly, and hindering the regional economy’s full potential, business leaders gathered for an Asia-Pacific summit say.

President Vladimir Putin has promised to make the modernization of Russia’s infrastructure a priority for the coming years, but the challenges are great.

While China, Japan and South Korea have raced to build high-speed railways, ultra-modern ports and showcase airports — not all of it needed — Russia’s investment in its resource-rich far eastern regions has lagged behind.

Five years ago, it took four to five days to send rail wagons from a Siberian mill to the Chinese border and back. Now it takes seven to 10 days, Paul Herbert, CEO of Ilim Group, Russia’s largest paper and pulp company and the largest soft-wood supplier to China, said Friday in an interview.

Ilim, which has been 50 percent owned by International Paper since 2007, ships more than 1 million tons of pulp and board for packaging to China each year, 90 percent of it by rail, 10 percent by rail to Vladivostok and then by ship.

An Ilim rail car crosses into China every 20 minutes on average, through three spurs of the Trans-Siberian Railway. Overall traffic has increased but the switching equipment and rolling stock have not.

The railroad’s capacity has been “constipated by under investment in switching facilities,” said Herbert, who has worked in the industry for over 40 years.

Putin said Russia has been increasing the capacity of its railroads, noting that the Trans-Siberian now ships more cargo than at Soviet-era heights, but he acknowledged that much more needs to be done.

“Our railroads are struggling to cope with the rising amount of cargo,” Putin said in an address to business executives on Friday at the annual Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, held this year in Vladivostok.

He also promised new roads, airports and pipelines in Russia’s east.

“One of the goals in the region is to expand the local energy sector and link it up with energy supplies from the European part of the country, be it hydropower stations or gas pipelines, Putin said.

Some of the missing and lacking connections are a legacy of the Cold War: North Korea, in particular, remains relatively isolated from the rest of Asia, its own infrastructure in shambles.

But both Russian and foreign executives attending a conference on APEC’s sidelines say the costs of those missing pieces are an unnecessary burden both for the economy and for consumers forced to put up with higher prices, less choice and the trials of traveling and living in a region lacking the conveniences taken for granted in most neighboring countries.

An estimate by the U.S.-Russia Business Council put Russia’s infrastructure needs during this decade at up to $1 trillion.

What Russia needs is “Infrastructure, infrastructure, infrastructure,” said Oleg Deripaska, chairman of UC Rusal, the world’s largest aluminum producer. The cost of inadequate or poorly coordinated roads, ports, railways and infrastructure: “Less profit and more time,” he said.

As their traditional markets in Europe languish, Russian businesses are increasingly looking to the Asia-Pacific region for growth.

“We see this in their investment strategy, where they are focused on China and the U.S,” said David Gray, a managing partner for PwC Russia, which released an annual survey of CEOs in 40 economies.

He noted recent investments in Vladivostok’s roads, bridges and airport in preparation for APEC. “We see what Russia is capable of in a very short period of time when it puts its mind to it,” Gray said.

Close to 40 percent of those PwC surveyed in Russia cited bottlenecks in transport networks as having a negative effect on their operations, he said.

Siberia needs three times the railway capacity it has, said Deripaska. It also needs better public facilities, such as schools, a “proper customs regime” and incentives to attract an adequate workforce.

The gap between Vladivostok’s housing and public facilities and those in most other major port cities in the Pacific region is apparent on arrival at the newly built but very basic international airport terminal, where arriving passengers must tramp up the stairs to get to immigration.

“Not just pipelines and roads but also airports and hotels and education,” Deripaska said. “In Russia we are just beginning. We rested a long time on our cushion of oil and gas. We need to be competitive and we have to improve efficiency.”

To pay for such improvements is costly, and Russia has made attracting more investment from its wealthy neighbors a key aim in hosting the APEC summit.

The government has been working to make the investment environment more attractive, said Vladimir Dmitriev, CEO of VEB, a Russian state-owned bank. But much remains to be done in terms of amending laws and ensuring they are enforced fairly, he said.

Meanwhile, to ensure efficiency, prevent duplication and other waste and to coordinate logistics requires national planning.

APEC can play a role, those attending the conference said, in forging regional networks, especially in energy and transport.

South Korea is keen to buy Russian natural gas, importing a bigger share of the 35 million tons of energy it buys each year through pipelines, rather than shipping by sea from the Middle East and Australia, said Yang Bong Jin, CEO of Hyundai Energy & Resources.

“Pipeline gas is safer, cheaper and easier to use. All would be beneficiaries,” Yang said.

Korea would also welcome a regional “smart grid” for electricity distribution, to help it use excess supplies from Russia at times of peak demand. Connecting railways from Russia through North Korea to the South Korean port of Pusan would provide greater shipping capacity.

South Korea could also help Russia streamline border crossing procedures, which can be like a “snail line,” Yang said.

“In South Korea, immigration takes only a few seconds,” he said. Sharing technology to help speed things along could be a “magic wand.”

“Through sharing of infrastructure we may save time and minimize duplication,” he said.

Looking at the decades it took Japan and later China to develop, this will all take time, said Deripaska, the Rusal CEO. “We shouldn’t expect everything should happen overnight,” he said.

John Faraci, chairman and CEO of International Paper, said Russia appears determined to develop the infrastructure needed to attract foreign investors.

“We wouldn’t be investing $1 billion if we weren’t seeing a commitment from the Russian government to diversify the economy,” he said.

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